Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000111 0.000123 0.000136 0.000151 0.000167 0.000185 0.000206
2025-11-30 0.000093 0.000110 0.000128 0.000151 0.000177 0.000208 0.000245
2025-12-07 0.000080 0.000098 0.000120 0.000149 0.000184 0.000227 0.000282
2025-12-14 0.000071 0.000091 0.000117 0.000150 0.000195 0.000251 0.000328
2025-12-21 0.000063 0.000085 0.000112 0.000151 0.000203 0.000273 0.000373
2025-12-28 0.000057 0.000078 0.000108 0.000150 0.000209 0.000292 0.000414
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000075 0.000106 0.000152 0.000220 0.000317 0.000467
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000071 0.000103 0.000152 0.000227 0.000338 0.000516
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000067 0.000099 0.000152 0.000233 0.000357 0.000563
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000063 0.000096 0.000151 0.000239 0.000376 0.000610
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000060 0.000094 0.000151 0.000245 0.000396 0.000662
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000057 0.000091 0.000149 0.000248 0.000411 0.000706
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000054 0.000088 0.000148 0.000253 0.000431 0.000762
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000051 0.000086 0.000149 0.000260 0.000454 0.000825
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000049 0.000083 0.000147 0.000264 0.000471 0.000880
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000047 0.000083 0.000149 0.000274 0.000501 0.000961
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000046 0.000081 0.000150 0.000281 0.000527 0.001036
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000044 0.000079 0.000149 0.000285 0.000546 0.001101
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000043 0.000079 0.000151 0.000295 0.000579 0.001196
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000041 0.000077 0.000151 0.000302 0.000605 0.001280
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000040 0.000076 0.000151 0.000307 0.000628 0.001358
2026-04-19 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000150 0.000312 0.000649 0.001436
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000037 0.000073 0.000150 0.000317 0.000675 0.001525